https://www.tadawulgy.online/ Daily crypto market analysis from the team behind the free Binance volume monitor. en Sat, 25 Jul 2026 16:06:00 GMT https://www.tadawulgy.online/articles/bitcoin-65000-fomc-warsh-preview-2026.html https://www.tadawulgy.online/articles/bitcoin-65000-fomc-warsh-preview-2026.html Sat, 25 Jul 2026 13:00:00 GMT Markets price a fifth straight hold at 3.50 to 3.75%, but the live debate on this committee is about a hike, not a cut. With no dot plot in July and forward guidance already scrapped, Warsh's press conference is the real event for Bitcoin at $65,000. https://www.tadawulgy.online/articles/banks-vs-stablecoins-yield-deposit-war-clarity-2026.html https://www.tadawulgy.online/articles/banks-vs-stablecoins-yield-deposit-war-clarity-2026.html Sat, 25 Jul 2026 13:00:00 GMT Seventy-eight U.S. banking groups asked the Senate to tighten the stablecoin-yield language in the CLARITY Act, warning that yield-bearing stablecoins could pull $1.3 trillion out of deposits and cut community lending by $850 billion. The real fight behind the third CLARITY dispute, as the FOMC and the recess close in. https://www.tadawulgy.online/articles/clarity-two-vote-problem-ethics-bitcoin-65000-fomc-2026.html https://www.tadawulgy.online/articles/clarity-two-vote-problem-ethics-bitcoin-65000-fomc-2026.html Fri, 24 Jul 2026 13:00:00 GMT The White House says the CLARITY ethics deal is done. But the only two Democrats who voted for the bill in committee, Ruben Gallego and Angela Alsobrooks, now say it falls short, with Gallego warning that Republicans will not get the Democratic votes. Bitcoin holds $65,000 after the week's $66,700 high as the August 7 recess and the July 28-29 FOMC close in. https://www.tadawulgy.online/articles/clarity-act-one-yard-line-senate-odds-bitcoin-66700-2026.html https://www.tadawulgy.online/articles/clarity-act-one-yard-line-senate-odds-bitcoin-66700-2026.html Thu, 23 Jul 2026 13:00:00 GMT Treasury Secretary Bessent says CLARITY is at the '1 yard line.' Markets price a Senate vote before August 8 at 72%, but full enactment by year-end at just 31%. Bitcoin nears $67,000, Coinbase jumps 12.6%, and a record $189M in crypto political money sits underneath. The honest scoreboard before the FOMC. https://www.tadawulgy.online/articles/bitcoin-66600-clarity-ethics-deal-etf-streak-2026.html https://www.tadawulgy.online/articles/bitcoin-66600-clarity-ethics-deal-etf-streak-2026.html Tue, 21 Jul 2026 13:00:00 GMT Bitcoin hit a five-week high of $66,621 after Trump agreed to the ethics provision blocking the CLARITY Act, sending passage odds near 50%. ETFs printed a fifth straight inflow day (~$727M for the week), while July hike odds doubled to 22% and oil hit $85. Regulation beat rates today; the FOMC decides if it keeps winning. https://www.tadawulgy.online/articles/bitcoin-etf-273m-vs-8b-asymmetry-recovery-2026.html https://www.tadawulgy.online/articles/bitcoin-etf-273m-vs-8b-asymmetry-recovery-2026.html Mon, 20 Jul 2026 13:00:00 GMT Two weeks of ETF inflows recovered $273 million, about 3% of the $8 billion that left over eight weeks, barely one quiet week of the exodus. Yet Bitcoin presses $65,400. The asymmetry, the marginal-flow logic that explains it, and the three clocks converging this week. https://www.tadawulgy.online/articles/genius-deadline-missed-zero-rules-record-stablecoin-2026.html https://www.tadawulgy.online/articles/genius-deadline-missed-zero-rules-record-stablecoin-2026.html Sun, 19 Jul 2026 13:00:00 GMT The GENIUS Act's July 18 deadline passed with eight proposed rules and not one finalized, the no-Plan-B limbo is real. Yet the OCC quietly chartered ~10 crypto firms, June stablecoin volume hit a record $1.79 trillion, and the revised CLARITY text lands this week. https://www.tadawulgy.online/articles/genius-act-deadline-stablecoin-rules-bitcoin-63000-2026.html https://www.tadawulgy.online/articles/genius-act-deadline-stablecoin-rules-bitcoin-63000-2026.html Sat, 18 Jul 2026 13:00:00 GMT The GENIUS Act's one-year rulemaking clock expires today. Six agencies must finalize the rules for a $257B stablecoin market, reserves, monthly audits, a yield ban, with no statutory fallback if they miss. Bitcoin slipped below $63,000 as the chip selloff spread, even with four straight ETF inflow days. https://www.tadawulgy.online/articles/ai-trade-cracks-bitcoin-holds-64000-2026.html https://www.tadawulgy.online/articles/ai-trade-cracks-bitcoin-holds-64000-2026.html Thu, 16 Jul 2026 13:00:00 GMT The semiconductor index fell 4.1% Thursday and sits 20% below its record from less than a month ago, while miners that pivoted to AI data centers dropped 8-11%. Bitcoin held $64,000. The first big crack in the AI trade, and why the rotation into crypto is not proven yet. https://www.tadawulgy.online/articles/bitcoin-65000-hike-odds-collapse-breakout-2026.html https://www.tadawulgy.online/articles/bitcoin-65000-hike-odds-collapse-breakout-2026.html Wed, 15 Jul 2026 13:00:00 GMT Bitcoin hit $65,013 as July hike odds collapsed from 34% to under 7% after the cool CPI. The $63,800 line is retaken, but ETF flows just whipsawed from -$425M to +$181M, the Coinbase Premium is unconfirmed, and Brent above $85 is building the counter-story. https://www.tadawulgy.online/articles/cpi-falls-3-5-percent-bitcoin-shorts-squeeze-2026.html https://www.tadawulgy.online/articles/cpi-falls-3-5-percent-bitcoin-shorts-squeeze-2026.html Tue, 14 Jul 2026 13:00:00 GMT June CPI fell 0.4%, the largest monthly decline since April 2020, taking annual inflation to 3.5% versus 3.8% expected. Bitcoin squeezed from $61,769 to above $63,300 as $68M in shorts burned, but gasoline made the print, oil is back at $80, and the $63,800 line is still overhead. https://www.tadawulgy.online/articles/bitcoin-decisive-week-cpi-senate-coinbase-premium-2026.html https://www.tadawulgy.online/articles/bitcoin-decisive-week-cpi-senate-coinbase-premium-2026.html Sun, 12 Jul 2026 13:00:00 GMT The Senate returns Monday, June CPI lands Tuesday, and the GENIUS rulemaking deadline hits Friday. The loudest week of the summer meets the quietest U.S. spot demand in 50 days, with Bitcoin at $64,000 and 307 days into its third-longest range ever. https://www.tadawulgy.online/articles/clarity-act-senate-crypto-market-structure-july-2026.html https://www.tadawulgy.online/articles/clarity-act-senate-crypto-market-structure-july-2026.html Fri, 10 Jul 2026 13:00:00 GMT Bitcoin holds above $64,000 as the market's focus shifts from geopolitics to Washington. The CLARITY Act cleared the House 294-134 but sits stuck in the Senate, where three disputes and an August recess deadline now decide whether crypto gets its market-structure law in 2026. https://www.tadawulgy.online/articles/bitcoin-64000-ibit-led-inflow-cpi-2026.html https://www.tadawulgy.online/articles/bitcoin-64000-ibit-led-inflow-cpi-2026.html Tue, 07 Jul 2026 13:00:00 GMT Monday sent $266M into U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs, led by a $209M turn in BlackRock's IBIT after an 11-day bleed. Bitcoin cleared $63,800 toward $64,000, with only the July 14 CPI left to decide the reversal. https://www.tadawulgy.online/articles/bitcoin-etf-flows-reopen-monday-cpi-2026.html https://www.tadawulgy.online/articles/bitcoin-etf-flows-reopen-monday-cpi-2026.html Mon, 06 Jul 2026 13:00:00 GMT U.S. spot Bitcoin ETF desks reopen Monday after the July 4 holiday. The $222M inflow that broke a 10-day outflow streak now faces its first real test, with Bitcoin near $63,000 and the June CPI print due July 14. https://www.tadawulgy.online/articles/dollar-cost-averaging-crypto-explained.html https://www.tadawulgy.online/articles/dollar-cost-averaging-crypto-explained.html Mon, 06 Jul 2026 13:00:00 GMT DCA is the most recommended strategy in crypto and the least understood. Here is the real math behind it, when it beats lump-sum investing, when it quietly destroys capital, and how to build a plan that survives a bear market. https://www.tadawulgy.online/articles/bitcoin-63800-trigger-cpi-week-2026.html https://www.tadawulgy.online/articles/bitcoin-63800-trigger-cpi-week-2026.html Sun, 05 Jul 2026 13:00:00 GMT Bitcoin is holding near $62,800 after thin holiday trading. The $63,800 breakout line, the return of ETF flows on Monday, and the June CPI print on July 14 now form a single decision tree for the whole market. https://www.tadawulgy.online/articles/bitcoin-63000-fourth-of-july-2026.html https://www.tadawulgy.online/articles/bitcoin-63000-fourth-of-july-2026.html Sat, 04 Jul 2026 13:00:00 GMT Bitcoin held above $63,000 on Saturday as the U.S. closed for the Fourth of July. Two consecutive positive ETF sessions, the 200-week support holding, and a softer Fed tone have structurally repaired the late-June drawdown - but a thin holiday tape still needs Monday volume and a clean CPI print to confirm the reversal. https://www.tadawulgy.online/articles/etf-10-day-outflow-streak-222m-inflows-2026.html https://www.tadawulgy.online/articles/etf-10-day-outflow-streak-222m-inflows-2026.html Fri, 03 Jul 2026 13:00:00 GMT U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs just flipped from a record 10-day outflow streak to $222M of inflows on July 2. Bitcoin held above $61,000 ahead of US Independence Day. Here is what changed, why it matters, and where the next inflection sits. https://www.tadawulgy.online/articles/warsh-jobs-bitcoin-gold-rally-2026.html https://www.tadawulgy.online/articles/warsh-jobs-bitcoin-gold-rally-2026.html Fri, 03 Jul 2026 13:00:00 GMT Nonfarm payrolls slowed to 57,000 in June, Kevin Warsh reset the Fed's risk stance, and Bitcoin and gold surged in the same session. Here is what actually moved, why the bounce could stick, and what could break it.